L’École des cotes

Nashville Predators v Seattle Kraken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nashville Predators (Local)

Prévision 52.18%1.92cote équitable
EV +0.192%
Avantage +0.100%
Kelly +0.209%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.39%52.34%52.22%55.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.821.831.9260.61%55.01%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.82%2.09cote équitable
EV +3.76%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +3.22%
Croissance +0.121%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.19%47.66%47.78%49.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.002.002.1753.48%49.98%50.00%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -10.24%E -5.96%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +3.76%E +1.73%K +3.22%G +0.121%4.2%2026-03-19 21:04
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -10.24%E -5.96%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +3.76%E +1.73%K +3.22%G +0.121%4.2%2026-03-19 21:05
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +3.28%E +1.52%K +2.83%G +0.093%4.8%2026-03-19 21:05
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.50%E -0.727%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:49
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.98%E -0.964%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 23:35
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.93%E -1.44%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:50
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 23:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:49
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:45
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:45
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:45
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:44
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.55%E -3.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:49
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:44
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 23:49
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:45
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:04
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:04
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:44
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:50
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.94%E -1.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.28%E -3.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV +0.192%E +0.100%K +0.209%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:05
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV +0.192%E +0.100%K +0.209%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:04
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.42%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:05
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -13.90%E -8.42%K -21.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -10.58%E -5.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-19 23:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-20 00:04
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-19 23:50
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.3%2026-03-20 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-03-20 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-03-20 00:00
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-03-19 23:59
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-03-20 00:04
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-03-20 00:04
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%3.3%2026-03-19 23:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 21:05
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 21:04
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 21:05
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%4.0%2026-03-20 00:05
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.50%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%4.0%2026-03-20 00:05
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-03-19 23:55
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-19 23:54
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-19 23:49
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-19 21:04
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-19 21:04
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-19 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-19 21:04
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%6.5%2026-03-19 23:49
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-19 21:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-03-20 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-03-20 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-19 23:50
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-19 23:49
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%9.9%2026-03-20 00:04
Unibet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.57%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%11.0%2026-03-20 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%13.8%2026-03-20 00:04