La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Everygame | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:54 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.50%E -7.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.50%E -6.50%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetOpenly | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.99% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.53% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.00% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.74% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.64% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.92% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17% | 14.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |