A Escola das Odds

Montréal Canadiens v New York Islanders

Início: 2026-03-21 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Previsão 52.40%1.91odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.50%52.22%54.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.811.801.8760.61%55.36%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Islanders (Visitante)

Previsão 47.60%2.10odd justa
EV +0.918%
Vantagem +0.433%
Kelly +0.819%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.08%47.50%47.78%48.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.022.002.1253.19%49.48%50.00%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +0.918%E +0.433%K +0.819%G +0.008%4.3%2026-03-21 21:39
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +0.918%E +0.433%K +0.819%G +0.008%4.3%2026-03-21 21:39
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.07%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +0.918%E +0.433%K +0.819%G +0.008%4.6%2026-03-21 21:39
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.46%E -0.706%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 21:35
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.94%E -0.941%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:19
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.94%E -0.941%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:19
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.94%E -0.941%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 22:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.94%E -0.941%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 21:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:45
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:54
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:34
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:01
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:44
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.84%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.84%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:59
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.84%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.32%E -2.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 22:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 22:19
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:54
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:54
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 22:15
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 22:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -13.54%E -8.21%K -20.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 21:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-03-21 23:00
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-21 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-21 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-21 22:19
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-21 21:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-21 21:35
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-21 16:04
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-03-21 23:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-03-21 22:15

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-21 21:39
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-21 21:39
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-21 21:39
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-21 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82%4.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.40%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-03-21 22:58
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-03-21 21:45
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.85%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.87%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-21 21:39
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-21 21:39
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-21 21:39
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-21 21:39
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-21 21:39
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-21 18:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%8.1%2026-03-21 23:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%8.2%2026-03-21 21:39
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%9.2%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-21 22:58
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-03-21 22:59