L’École des cotes

Montréal Canadiens v New York Islanders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 00:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prévision 57.25%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.382%
Avantage -0.220%
Kelly -0.516%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.27%57.30%57.29%58.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.671.681.7465.36%59.81%59.52%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Islanders (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.75%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.824%
Avantage -0.355%
Kelly -0.624%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.41%42.70%42.71%44.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.232.252.3248.31%44.84%44.44%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.382%E -0.220%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 23:59
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.96%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.96%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:00
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:00
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 23:58
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.24%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:59
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.24%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.24%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:00
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.96%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 23:59
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.53%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:59
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.38%E -2.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:00
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:00
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.39%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:59
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.53%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.68%E -0.730%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.53%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.53%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.53%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.53%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 23:59
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.11%E -3.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.824%E -0.355%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.11%E -3.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.824%E -0.355%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.68%E -4.10%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.68%E -0.730%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:54
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.40%E -8.11%K -23.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.51%E -5.56%K -10.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-26 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-02-26 23:59
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-02-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-02-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-02-27 00:00
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-02-27 00:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-26 23:59
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-02-26 23:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:00
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:00
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%3.9%2026-02-26 23:59
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.29%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-02-26 23:58
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-27 00:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-27 00:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-02-27 00:00
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-02-27 00:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-02-27 00:00
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%9.5%2026-02-27 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%9.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.22%11.0%2026-02-26 23:58
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%13.7%2026-02-26 23:59