默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Montréal Canadiens v Carolina Hurricanes

开赛时间: 2026-10-06 23:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Montréal Canadiens (主队)

预测 48.74%2.05公平赔率
EV -3.50%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -3.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.06%48.82%48.95%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.931.951.9853.48%51.80%51.28%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Carolina Hurricanes (客队)

预测 51.26%1.95公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -2.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.18%51.05%51.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.22%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Montréal Canadiens (主队):48.74%;Carolina Hurricanes (客队):51.26%。 对于“Carolina Hurricanes (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.95。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.91,期望值为-2.08%,未产生正期望值。

有 9 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.50%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.65%E -2.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.50%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.16%E -2.79%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 17:05
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.48%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.67%E -3.08%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.48%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.67%E -3.08%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.16%E -2.79%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 09:45
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.16%E -2.79%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.16%E -2.79%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.09%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.40%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 14:25
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.70%E -3.68%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 14:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.94%EV -11.31%E -6.54%K -15.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-05 06:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-10-05 11:45
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-05 03:35
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%10.2%2026-10-05 14:16

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (9)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.76%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.77%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%3.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.74%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-10-04 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-10-05 14:16
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-10-05 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.89%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.8%2026-10-05 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.91%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-10-05 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%10.8%2026-10-05 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.79%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.67%17.6%2026-10-05 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.82%19.0%2026-10-05 14:16