La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v Buffalo Sabres

Inizio: 2026-05-10 23:10 UTC

Finale: Montréal Canadiens 6–2 Buffalo Sabres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 54.83%1.82quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.721%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.71%54.95%56.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.751.751.8063.29%57.30%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.17%2.21quota equa
EV -0.637%
Vantaggio -0.289%
Kelly -0.530%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%45.29%45.05%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.46%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.30%E -0.721%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.67%E -4.83%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 02:24
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -1.85%E -1.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 23:04
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.85%E -1.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 23:03
theScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.09%E -0.497%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-10 23:04
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 22:34
ReBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.60%E -2.68%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 22:49
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 22:34
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:14
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 22:34
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 23:03
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:44
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.67%E -4.83%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:04
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.09%E -0.497%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 22:49
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 22:54
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 23:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 23:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 22:48
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 22:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 22:58
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 22:50
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 22:55
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 22:59
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 23:03
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 23:04
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 22:42
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 22:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.637%E -0.289%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 23:02
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.54%E -0.706%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 22:44
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.54%E -0.706%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 22:44
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 22:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -13.36%E -8.46%K -23.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.02%E -5.60%K -11.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-05-10 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-10 23:04
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-10 22:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-10 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-10 23:04
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-10 22:59
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-10 23:04
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-05-10 23:04
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-05-10 23:04

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%2.9%2026-05-10 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%2.9%2026-05-10 22:44
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%2.9%2026-05-10 22:44
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%2.9%2026-05-10 22:44
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-05-10 22:44
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.26%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.03%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.71%4.6%2026-05-10 22:54
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-05-10 22:44
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-05-10 23:04
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-05-10 22:44
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-05-10 22:44
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-05-10 22:44
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-05-10 22:44
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%6.2%2026-05-10 22:59
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-05-10 22:44
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-05-10 23:02
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-05-10 06:34
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%7.2%2026-05-10 22:49
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-05-10 22:44
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-05-10 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-05-10 23:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.61%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%12.4%2026-05-10 22:44