L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.26
avec la cote maximale 4.75
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.21%E -5.18%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.76%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.21%E -5.18%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.76%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.76%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.67%E +0.568%K +0.721%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.67%E +0.568%K +0.721%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.67%E +0.568%K +0.721%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.21%E -5.18%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.58%E +0.339%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.485%E +0.105%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.21%E -5.18%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.485%E +0.105%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -1.04%E -0.230%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.88%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.88%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.88%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:58 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.98%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:54 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -5.41%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.41%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -2.31%E -1.84%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%EV -5.63%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -2.31%E -1.84%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%EV -5.63%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.10%EV -13.25%E -11.93%K -120.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-02 23:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.01%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -10.00%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.31%E -1.84%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -14.81%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -1.52%E -1.21%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -15.46%E -4.00%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.11% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.89% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:58 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.88% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.88% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.88% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.88% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.60% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.55% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.85% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.44% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.30% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.26% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.50% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 23:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.64% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.82% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.12% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |