L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.54
avec la cote maximale 2.75
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -1.94%E -1.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -5.91%E -2.28%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.28%E -0.848%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.28%E -2.43%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.22%E -2.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.64%E -0.986%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -6.28%E -2.43%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:03 |
| Betsson | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.19%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.37%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.37%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.49%E -2.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.37%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.13%E -3.44%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.92%E -0.710%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 21:58 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.92%E -0.710%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.92%E -0.710%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.55%E -2.13%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.101%E -0.037%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -12.13%E -8.79%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -12.09%E -5.00%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.14% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.86% | -0.1% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.29% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.71% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.35% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.48% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.35% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 22:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 22:01 |