L’École des cotes

Minnesota Wild v Chicago Blackhawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 23:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prévision 63.29%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -4.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.32%63.29%65.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.511.531.5471.94%66.01%65.36%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Blackhawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.71%2.72cote équitable
EV +0.942%
Avantage +0.343%
Kelly +0.538%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.83%36.68%36.71%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.73%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.33%E -4.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.942%E +0.343%K +0.538%G +0.005%3.9%2026-03-19 23:05
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.33%E -4.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.942%E +0.343%K +0.538%G +0.005%3.9%2026-03-19 23:04
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.96%E -4.73%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.942%E +0.343%K +0.538%G +0.005%4.4%2026-03-19 23:05
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.69%E -3.82%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.893%E -0.331%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:34
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.73%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 23:05
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.73%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.06%E -3.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.73%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:09
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.43%E -2.93%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 23:05
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.79%E -2.50%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.83%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 23:30
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 23:27
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:04
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:04
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:34
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.79%E -2.50%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 23:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.06%E -3.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 23:34
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.06%E -3.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.33%E -4.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.22%E -5.67%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.56%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 23:31
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 23:05
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.30%E -2.05%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.79%E -2.50%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:19
Paddy Power1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.79%E -2.50%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.06%E -3.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 23:09
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -7.50%E -2.98%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:30
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -7.87%E -3.13%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 23:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.79%E -2.50%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 23:05
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.45%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 23:09
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.53%E -1.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.45%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 23:10
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.16%E -2.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.02%E -8.65%K -30.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-19 23:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-03-19 23:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-03-19 23:35
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-03-19 23:35
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-19 23:30
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-19 23:09
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-19 23:34
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-03-19 23:35
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-03-19 23:30
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%4.9%2026-03-19 23:29

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-03-19 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-03-19 23:04
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-03-19 23:34
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-03-19 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%4.2%2026-03-19 23:34
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.25%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49%4.6%2026-03-19 23:29
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.88%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.51%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.62%4.8%2026-03-19 23:29
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.25%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%5.1%2026-03-19 23:35
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%5.3%2026-03-19 23:04
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%5.3%2026-03-19 23:04
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%5.3%2026-03-19 23:34
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%5.3%2026-03-19 23:04
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%6.3%2026-03-19 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%6.5%2026-03-19 23:19
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%7.3%2026-03-19 23:04
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-03-19 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%8.5%2026-03-19 23:34
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-03-19 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%9.2%2026-03-19 23:29
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%9.8%2026-03-19 23:33
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.89%10.1%2026-03-19 23:33
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%13.9%2026-03-19 23:35