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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Los Angeles Kings v San Jose Sharks

2026-11-05 03:10 UTC — NHL

Resultado del partido

32 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Predicción 58.10%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.34%58.23%62.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.651.6865.36%61.06%60.61%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Jose Sharks (Visitante)

Predicción 41.90%2.39momio equitativo
EV +5.17%
Ventaja +2.06%
Kelly +3.42%
Crecimiento +0.177%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.87%41.66%41.77%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.252.5146.51%43.72%44.44%39.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 58.10%; San Jose Sharks (Visitante): 41.90%. Para San Jose Sharks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.39. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.51, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.17%.

19 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV +5.17%E +2.06%K +3.42%G +0.177%5.2%2026-11-03 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV +5.17%E +2.06%K +3.42%G +0.177%5.2%2026-11-03 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.75%E +1.90%K +3.16%G +0.150%4.5%2026-11-03 18:09
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +4.75%E +1.90%K +3.16%G +0.150%5.4%2026-11-03 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.12%E -0.474%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-03 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.12%E -0.474%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-03 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.54%E -0.654%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 18:40
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.96%E -0.836%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-03 17:35
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-03 18:25
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-03 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:08
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:15
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:15
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 18:19
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.39%E -1.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 18:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 16:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 16:14
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 18:10
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-03 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-03 17:28
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-03 17:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-11-03 18:30
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-11-03 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%8.1%2026-11-03 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%8.1%2026-11-03 19:05
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%10.5%2026-11-03 18:25

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (19)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-03 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-03 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-03 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-03 18:15
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.49%3.2%2026-11-03 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.63%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-11-03 18:30
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.4%2026-11-03 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.4%2026-11-03 18:15
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.4%2026-11-03 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%5.8%2026-11-03 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-11-03 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-11-03 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%7.9%2026-11-03 19:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.79%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.6%2026-11-03 18:25
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-11-03 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.86%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%10.1%2026-11-03 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%11.7%2026-11-03 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.98%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%15.2%2026-11-03 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%17.0%2026-11-03 18:25
Arbitraje (44 combinaciones) +0.64%Bet Right 1.68 (59.9%) / Betsson 2.51 (40.1%)Ver las 44 combinaciones
Los Angeles Kings (Local)San Jose Sharks (Visitante)Margen
Bet Right🎯 1.68 (59.9%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.1%)+0.640%
Bet Right🎯 1.68 (59.9%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.1%)+0.640%
Bet Right🎯 1.68 (59.8%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
Bet Right🎯 1.68 (59.8%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
GTbets🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
GTbets🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
BetMGM🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
BetMGM🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
Coral🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
Coral🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
BetRivers🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
BetRivers🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
Bally Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
Bally Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
betPARX🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
betPARX🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
888sport🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
888sport🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
888sport (SE)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
888sport (SE)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
William Hill🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betsson🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
William Hill🎯 1.67 (60.0%)NordicBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)+0.280%
GTbets🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
GTbets🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BetMGM🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BetMGM🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Coral🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Coral🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BetRivers🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BetRivers🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Bally Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Bally Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
betPARX🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
betPARX🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
888sport🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
888sport🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
888sport (SE)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
888sport (SE)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
William Hill🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PlayUp🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
William Hill🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%