L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Kings v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prévision 51.89%1.93cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.93%51.95%51.90%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.831.831.8858.82%54.55%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.11%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.05%48.10%49.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.981.982.0554.64%50.54%50.51%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 00:04
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 00:04
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:04
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:04
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:04
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:04
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:05
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.71%E -2.91%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:05
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 00:04
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.22%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:04
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.63%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:04
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.63%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:04
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:55
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:04
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:04
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:04
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.74%E -2.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:04
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.74%E -2.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.74%E -2.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.74%E -2.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:59
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.11%E -4.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 00:04
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -1.86%E -0.910%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 00:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 00:04
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 00:04
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.60%E -3.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.78%E -1.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 00:04
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -7.12%E -3.98%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.79%E -6.93%K -16.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.96%E -6.54%K -14.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-03-07 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-08 00:04
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-08 00:04
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-03-08 00:05
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-08 00:04

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-03-08 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-03-08 00:04
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.22%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%3.6%2026-03-08 00:05
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-03-07 23:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-08 00:05
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-08 00:05
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.17%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%4.9%2026-03-07 23:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-08 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-03-08 00:05
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%7.5%2026-03-08 00:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%8.1%2026-03-08 00:04
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-08 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-08 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%11.2%2026-03-08 00:03
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%11.2%2026-03-07 23:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%15.0%2026-03-08 00:04