L’École des cotes

Florida Panthers v Seattle Kraken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 23:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prévision 54.46%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%54.56%54.31%55.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.751.751.7862.11%57.04%57.14%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.54%2.20cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.756%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.56%45.44%45.69%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.102.102.1651.81%47.70%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.63%E -0.756%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-24 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-24 22:59
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-24 22:59
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.91%E -1.85%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 22:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.15%E -2.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.46%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 23:00
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.46%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.46%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 22:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 23:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 22:59
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 22:59
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 23:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 22:59
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.33%E -3.68%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.54%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -12.32%E -7.65%K -20.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -12.11%E -6.27%K -13.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-24 22:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-24 22:59
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%0.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-03-24 22:59
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-24 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-03-24 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-24 23:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-24 22:59
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-03-24 23:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.61%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-24 22:59
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-03-24 22:59
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-24 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-03-24 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-24 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-03-24 22:58
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.23%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%9.6%2026-03-24 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.34%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.24%10.9%2026-03-24 22:48