L’École des cotes

Florida Panthers v Boston Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 23:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prévision 40.25%2.48cote équitable
EV -0.177%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.120%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.77%40.28%40.15%42.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.362.352.4846.08%42.34%42.46%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.75%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.84%59.72%59.85%61.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.611.6467.57%62.37%62.11%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.177%E -0.072%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.982%E -0.399%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 21:15
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.982%E -0.399%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 21:15
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.38%E -0.565%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-02 21:50
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 23:00
Everygame2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 22:30
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 19:54
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 21:58
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 14:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 14:24
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 19:05
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 19:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 14:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
ReBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 22:05
Bet Right2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:55
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 13:55
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 16:59
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Paddy Power2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:05
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 15:56
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 13:54
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.81%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:44
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -7.02%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.61%E -1.60%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 16:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:01
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 22:50
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:05
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:05
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.44%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:19
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.66%E -5.83%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53%0.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-02 23:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-02 20:20
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-02 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-04-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-04-02 23:05
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-04-02 23:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-02 16:59
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-02 16:59
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-02 20:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%4.0%2026-04-02 18:35
Coolbet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-04-02 20:59
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.65%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-04-02 22:59
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.71%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.16%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13%4.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-04-02 16:59
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%5.8%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%5.8%2026-04-02 17:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%5.8%2026-04-02 17:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-04-02 17:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-02 13:54
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-04-02 22:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%7.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%8.2%2026-04-02 23:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-04-02 18:35
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-02 19:44
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%9.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-04-02 23:00
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46%12.7%2026-04-02 17:00