La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.081%E +0.041%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.42%E -0.721%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -1.92%E -0.980%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -1.92%E -0.980%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:54 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 15:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:54 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:54 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 14:23 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.58%E -2.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 19:34 |
| ReBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.42%E -2.87%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 20:52 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.42%E -3.44%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.42%E -3.44%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:28 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.42%E -3.44%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.42%E -3.44%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.44%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.92%E -3.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 20:54 |
| Betsson | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.92%E -3.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 14:45 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 14:40 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 14:45 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.43%E -4.60%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.43%E -7.10%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.57%E -6.54%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:50 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 20:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.26% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.65% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 20:49 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.71% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 22:33 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 20:49 |