L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 58.06%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.28%58.04%58.17%59.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.651.651.6966.23%60.74%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.94%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.754%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.76%41.96%41.83%43.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.302.3647.62%43.90%43.48%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.88%E -1.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-10 23:55
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.88%E -1.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-10 22:25
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.88%E -1.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.88%E -1.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-10 23:53
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:54
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 05:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 22:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.96%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.04%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:00
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.62%E -2.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.02%E -0.434%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-10 23:55
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.62%E -2.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 12:15
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 21:40
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.78%E -2.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.78%E -2.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.78%E -2.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:30
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.28%E -0.980%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.28%E -0.980%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:04
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.44%E -0.615%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.44%E -0.615%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.86%E -0.796%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:55
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:53
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 22:30
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 23:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -1.86%E -0.796%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -12.33%E -8.16%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-10 19:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 57.18%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.82%-0.6%2026-03-10 23:55
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-11 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82%1.1%2026-03-11 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-03-11 00:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-10 22:20

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-03-10 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-03-10 22:24
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-03-10 22:24
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-03-10 22:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-11 00:00
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.67%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.74%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.60%4.6%2026-03-10 23:55
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.07%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-10 19:05
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-03-10 22:24
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-03-10 22:24
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-03-10 22:24
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-03-10 22:25
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.1%2026-03-10 22:24
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-03-10 11:39
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-11 00:00
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%8.0%2026-03-10 22:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-10 23:55
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-10 23:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-03-11 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%9.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.82%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.50%11.1%2026-03-10 23:54
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.64%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%11.2%2026-03-10 23:55