L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.67
avec la cote maximale 2.43
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.21%E -0.726%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.38%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.38%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.38%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 18:14 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 14:19 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 20:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 04:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 04:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 14:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.24%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 04:14 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 08:35 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 04:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 04:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.46%E -2.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-16 16:24 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.46%E -2.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-16 16:25 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 16:34 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -1.15%E -0.476%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.19%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 04:15 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.19%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 04:15 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.19%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 22:46 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.744%E -0.306%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 21:08 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.45%E -8.41%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.36%E -5.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-16 22:55 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.71% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.29% | -0.3% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.68% | 0.3% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-16 22:45 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 16:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.78% | 3.1% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 23:34 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 19:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67% | 7.3% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 12:10 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 12:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.27% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.24% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 23:34 |