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Dallas Stars v Seattle Kraken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dallas Stars (Local)
Predicción 60.22%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.22%60.15%60.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.591.591.6268.97%62.98%62.89%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Kraken (Visitante)
Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%39.78%39.85%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.222.392.402.4545.05%41.78%41.67%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dallas Stars (Local): 60.22%; Seattle Kraken (Visitante): 39.78%. Para Dallas Stars (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.62, con un valor esperado de -2.45%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 00:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 00:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.68%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.68%E -5.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95% | -0.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44% | 1.8% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.16% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.71% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37% | 11.1% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |