L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.70
avec la cote maximale 2.33
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.68%E -3.54%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.878%E -0.377%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-01 01:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.936%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.58%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 03:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 03:19 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 01:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.13%E -2.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.56%E -2.50%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.878%E -0.377%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 23:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 01:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 20:49 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 20:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.878%E -0.377%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.878%E -0.377%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 01:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 01:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.15%E -0.936%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.15%E -0.936%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.15%E -0.936%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.66%E -8.33%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.75% | -0.2% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 00:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 00:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.13% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 01:07 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 01:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.39% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26% | 11.7% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.99% | 17.6% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |