La scuola delle quote

Dallas Stars v Minnesota Wild

Inizio: 2026-04-18 21:50 UTC

Finale: Dallas Stars 1–6 Minnesota Wild

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dallas Stars (Casa)

Previsione 53.20%1.88quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.856%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.29%53.25%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.801.801.8560.61%55.70%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Wild (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.80%2.14quota equa
EV +0.624%
Vantaggio +0.290%
Kelly +0.543%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.71%46.75%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.07%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.44%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.624%E +0.290%K +0.543%G +0.003%4.0%2026-04-18 21:35
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.03%E -5.28%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.624%E +0.290%K +0.543%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-18 21:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.817%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 21:04
theScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.58%E -0.856%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 21:40
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.12%E -1.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 21:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:55
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 21:15
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 21:45
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 21:45
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 20:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 21:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:25
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:30
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:10
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:30
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 21:45
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:39
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 21:45
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:50
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 20:30
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 20:14
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 21:40
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 21:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 21:43
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 21:31
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:40
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.22%E -7.41%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.01%E -6.39%K -13.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 20:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-18 20:00
BetOpenly1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-04-18 21:05
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-04-18 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-04-18 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-04-18 21:45
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%2.8%2026-04-18 21:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-18 21:45
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%8.6%2026-04-18 21:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (20)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-18 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-18 21:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-18 21:45
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-18 21:45
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-04-18 21:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-04-18 21:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-17 18:19
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-18 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-18 21:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-18 21:45
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-18 21:45
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%6.5%2026-04-18 20:25
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-04-18 21:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-04-18 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.31%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%7.6%2026-04-18 21:19
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-18 21:43
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-04-18 21:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-18 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-04-18 21:40
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.92%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%12.3%2026-04-18 21:45