L’École des cotes

Columbus Blue Jackets v Winnipeg Jets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Columbus Blue Jackets (Local)

Prévision 56.84%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.965%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%57.01%56.78%58.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.681.691.7365.36%59.54%59.17%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Winnipeg Jets (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.16%2.32cote équitable
EV +0.567%
Avantage +0.243%
Kelly +0.426%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%42.99%43.22%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.212.212.3348.31%45.21%45.35%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.567%E +0.243%K +0.426%G +0.002%2.4%2026-04-04 22:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.728%E -0.316%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 19:30
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.728%E -0.316%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 19:29
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.728%E -0.316%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 19:30
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.02%E -0.891%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 20:08
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 15:59
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 20:39
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 20:24
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 21:19
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:00
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 17:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:04
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 23:04
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.18%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 20:24
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.61%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:38
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 11:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:29
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:28
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:49
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:49
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:04
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 22:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:48
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.965%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 15:44
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -13.04%E -8.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -10.65%E -5.15%K -9.96%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-04-04 22:59
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-04 22:50
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-04 22:54
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-04 00:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-04 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-04-04 22:55
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-04-04 22:34

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 19:29
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 19:30
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 20:00
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.63%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.01%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.48%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-04-04 22:55
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-04-04 17:44
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.29%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-04 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-04 19:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-04 19:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-04 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-04-04 21:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-04-04 19:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-04 22:50
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-04-04 19:30
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.68%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%10.1%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46%12.7%2026-04-04 19:30