L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.02
avec la cote maximale 1.90
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.78%E -1.37%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.45%E -0.762%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.22%E -2.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.70%E -2.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.52%E -1.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.70%E -2.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.56%E -2.48%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.56%E -2.48%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.52%E -1.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.08%E -2.77%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.88%E -7.12%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.30%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 23:58 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | -0.0% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.21% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.73% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 00:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.94% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.71% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11% | 11.0% | 2026-03-08 00:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.10% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35% | 14.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |