L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.50
avec la cote maximale 2.76
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -2.10%E -0.762%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -2.10%E -0.762%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -2.10%E -0.762%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 20:20 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -3.17%E -1.16%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.46%E -0.894%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.46%E -0.894%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.46%E -0.894%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.46%E -0.894%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 13:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 22:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -6.36%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -6.36%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.88%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.46%E -0.894%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.08%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.24% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.51% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.75% | 17.9% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |