L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.08
avec la cote maximale 1.87
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.15%E -0.554%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.15%E -0.554%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.63%E -0.786%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.63%E -0.786%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.12%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| ReBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.53%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.53%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.48%E -2.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.48%E -2.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.48%E -2.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.02%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:40 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 22:35 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.02%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.02%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 20:10 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 22:10 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 20:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.43%E -2.73%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.92%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.13%E -5.95%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-17 22:43 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 22:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.92% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.33% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 22:50 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 20:15 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 22:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 23:02 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.10% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05% | 11.3% | 2026-03-17 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.14% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29% | 14.6% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |