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Columbus Blue Jackets v Buffalo Sabres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Columbus Blue Jackets (Local)
Predicción 48.56%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.948%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.54%48.59%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.952.0254.05%50.97%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visitante)
Predicción 51.44%1.94momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.46%51.41%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.851.9057.14%54.06%54.05%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Columbus Blue Jackets (Local): 48.56%; Buffalo Sabres (Visitante): 51.44%. Para Columbus Blue Jackets (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.06. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.02, con un valor esperado de -1.92%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.92%E -0.948%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.89%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -3.37%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -3.37%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.83%E -2.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 15:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 12:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.31%E -2.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.29%E -3.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 22:13 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.29%E -3.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.26%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.07%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.50%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-10-01 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.16% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.64% | 1.5% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 22:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44% | 8.7% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-10-01 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10% | 9.6% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52% | 12.4% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.04% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09% | 12.5% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46% | 13.7% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |