L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.36
avec la cote maximale 1.69
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.84%E -0.781%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.04%E -1.83%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.26%E -0.961%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.63%E -2.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.26%E -0.961%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.26%E -0.961%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.38%E -3.32%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.26%E -0.961%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.38%E -3.32%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:30 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.09%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.09%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 00:30 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-31 23:58 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.63%E -2.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 00:25 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.63%E -2.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.21%E -2.57%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.38%E -3.32%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.75%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -5.17%E -2.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.29%E -0.763%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -5.17%E -2.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.29%E -0.763%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.17%E -2.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.59%E -2.46%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betsson | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.59%E -2.46%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.79%E -2.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.29%E -0.763%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.29%E -0.763%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.29%E -0.763%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.04%E -1.83%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.63%E -2.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.38%E -3.32%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.38%E -3.32%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 00:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.55%E -4.09%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 00:17 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.67%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 00:03 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.46%E -1.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.63%E -2.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.63%E -2.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.22%E -7.38%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 00:34 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| Polymarket | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 00:34 |
| Novig | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-01 00:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 00:07 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.82% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.56% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:29 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 00:20 |
| Betway | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.11% | 9.7% | 2026-04-01 00:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |