L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.98
avec la cote maximale 1.45
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -1.85%E -0.620%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| Caesars | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.50%E -0.846%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:28 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.83%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.83%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.83%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.83%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.83%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.82%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:53 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.82%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:55 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| GTbets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:45 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.14%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:14 |
| ReBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.14%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.14%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.47%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.47%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -5.47%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 00:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 17:20 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.43%E -3.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:14 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.43%E -3.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.08%EV -12.06%E -4.52%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 23:55 |
| Polymarket | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-03-09 23:55 |
| Novig | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-03-09 22:30 |
| BetOpenly | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.29% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Coolbet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.99% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.18% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.52% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24% | 10.8% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.30% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21% | 10.9% | 2026-03-10 00:26 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39% | 14.0% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |