默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Blackhawks v St Louis Blues

开赛时间: 2026-10-07 00:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Blackhawks (主队)

预测 49.24%2.03公平赔率
EV -0.539%
优势 -0.267%
Kelly -0.529%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.12%49.03%49.00%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.941.942.0253.48%51.48%51.41%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

St Louis Blues (客队)

预测 50.76%1.97公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -3.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.97%51.00%52.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.11%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Blackhawks (主队):49.24%;St Louis Blues (客队):50.76%。 对于“Chicago Blackhawks (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.02,期望值为-0.539%,未产生正期望值。

有 9 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 06:34
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -1.03%E -0.513%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 06:35
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -1.03%E -0.513%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 06:35
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 14:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 06:35
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 09:35
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 17:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 09:45
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:35
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 03:38
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 03:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-10-04 21:55
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-05 08:30
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%10.2%2026-10-04 09:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (9)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.19%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.32%3.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.11%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%4.6%2026-10-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%5.9%2026-10-04 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%6.7%2026-10-05 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.45%7.1%2026-10-04 09:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%9.0%2026-10-05 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-10-04 09:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.25%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%16.7%2026-10-05 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.15%18.4%2026-10-04 09:35