L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.60
avec la cote maximale 1.61
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.641%E +0.246%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Fliff | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.641%E +0.246%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Bovada | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -0.133%E -0.052%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -5.00%E -3.22%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 00:08 |
| Caesars | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.133%E -0.052%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 00:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.29%E -0.508%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| GTbets | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.29%E -0.508%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.29%E -0.508%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.29%E -0.508%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.06%E -5.37%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.68%E -0.662%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.68%E -0.662%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.84%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.00%E -3.22%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| ReBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.78%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.78%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.00%E -3.22%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -1.32%E -0.820%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -1.32%E -0.820%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.33%E -2.61%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Betsson | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.22%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.22%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 00:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -12.13%E -5.34%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.35%E -8.64%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71% | -0.2% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| ProphetX | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Polymarket | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Novig | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 28.13% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 71.87% | 37.8% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 00:33 |
| 1xBet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.68% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 00:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.96% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 00:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68% | 12.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |