L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.80
avec la cote maximale 2.17
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.59%E -0.884%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.59%E -0.884%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:03 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.09%E -0.967%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.45%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.45%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.23%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:49 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:46 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.00%E -1.40%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.09%E -0.967%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -13.62%E -8.62%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -10.25%E -5.18%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Novig | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| BetOpenly | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97% | 2.0% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.72% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.61% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.55% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58% | 9.3% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22% | 10.9% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.26% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89% | 14.0% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |