L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.50
avec la cote maximale 2.80
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -3.98%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -2.57%E -0.927%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -2.57%E -0.927%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.92%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Fliff | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.98%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.51%E -0.541%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.51%E -0.541%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.51%E -0.541%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.27%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 02:03 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -9.24%E -6.60%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-28 02:17 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00% | -0.1% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| Novig | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.66% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.34% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.24% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.51% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85% | 7.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92% | 8.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.13% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30% | 9.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98% | 9.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98% | 9.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71% | 16.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |