La escuela de los momios

Carolina Hurricanes v Boston Bruins

Inicio: 2026-04-07 23:07 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Predicción 62.31%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%62.32%62.25%63.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.541.5771.43%65.17%64.94%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Bruins (Visitante)

Predicción 37.69%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.872%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.535%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.47%37.68%37.75%38.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.532.532.6342.19%39.58%39.53%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.18%E -1.39%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -2.76%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-07 22:05
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.18%E -1.39%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 22:05
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.00%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 21:10
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.51%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.51%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 21:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 21:00
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.02%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 22:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.42%E -2.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.66%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.42%E -2.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.66%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.00%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 21:30
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 21:30
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 07:19
Paddy Power1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 15:54
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:30
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.26%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 18:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.26%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 18:40
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.15%E -2.47%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 16:34
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.04%E -2.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.15%E -2.47%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 16:34
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.76%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 18:19
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 16:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:05
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.02%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 21:00
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.40%E -2.15%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 21:33
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 18:40
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.66%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.67%E -3.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.66%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 18:40
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 15:15
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.91%E -3.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.872%E -0.332%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 19:09
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.91%E -3.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.872%E -0.332%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 19:09
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.91%E -3.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 23:05
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.00%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.77%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 22:55
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -12.77%E -9.12%K -31.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -10.67%E -4.50%K -7.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-07 17:34
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-07 17:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-07 23:05
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-04-07 23:05
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-04-07 23:05
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-07 23:05
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-04-07 23:05

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-07 19:09
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-07 19:09
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-07 20:05
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-07 19:09
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%4.2%2026-04-07 23:05
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-04-07 22:53
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.53%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.34%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13%4.7%2026-04-07 22:54
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-04-07 20:05
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-07 19:09
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-07 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-07 19:09
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-07 19:09
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.5%2026-04-07 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-04-07 21:59
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%8.1%2026-04-07 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%8.2%2026-04-07 22:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%9.0%2026-04-07 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%9.1%2026-04-07 23:05
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-04-07 21:35
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.15%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%10.0%2026-04-07 22:33
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%12.1%2026-04-07 19:09