La scuola delle quote

Calgary Flames v St Louis Blues

Inizio: 2026-03-19 01:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Calgary Flames (Casa)

Previsione 45.15%2.22quota equa
EV +2.03%
Vantaggio +0.899%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.49%45.17%44.85%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.112.112.2651.81%47.45%47.39%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Louis Blues (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.85%1.82quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.702%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%54.83%55.15%57.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.751.751.8062.11%57.28%57.31%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV +2.03%E +0.899%K +1.61%G +0.033%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -8.39%E -5.03%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:25
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 01:25
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 01:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:25
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:25
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.10%E -2.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.10%E -2.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:25
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.10%E -2.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.10%E -2.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.20%E -3.63%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 01:25
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.20%E -3.63%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 01:25
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 01:25
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.10%E -2.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 01:25
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.26%E -0.702%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-19 01:10
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.65%E -3.29%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 01:20
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.46%E -1.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:25
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:15
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:25
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:55
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 21:20
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.65%E -3.29%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 01:25
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.65%E -3.29%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 01:25
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.46%E -1.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 23:55
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 01:20
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:10
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 21:15
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.91%E -1.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:15
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.26%E -0.702%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 15:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.96%E -6.14%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.26%E -0.702%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 01:25
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -12.87%E -6.67%K -13.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -11.69%E -7.26%K -19.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 01:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-03-19 01:25
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-03-19 01:25
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-19 01:20
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-19 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-03-19 01:25
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-19 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-03-19 01:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-03-19 01:25
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.1%2026-03-19 01:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-18 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-18 23:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-18 23:55
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-18 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.29%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%4.2%2026-03-19 01:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-03-19 01:00
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-19 01:25
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.50%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-03-19 01:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-18 23:55
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-18 23:55
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-18 23:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-18 23:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-18 23:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-19 01:25
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-19 00:05
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-18 23:55
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%8.8%2026-03-19 01:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%9.2%2026-03-19 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-03-19 01:25
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%10.9%2026-03-19 01:18
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%10.9%2026-03-19 01:24
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.75%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%15.1%2026-03-19 01:25