默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames v Philadelphia Flyers

2026-11-09 00:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

48%

52%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames (主队)

预测 47.82%2.09公平赔率

EV -1.50%

优势 -0.727%

Kelly -1.41%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布

47.04%47.83%47.78%48.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.881.992.002.0653.19%50.16%50.00%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Flyers (客队)

预测 52.18%1.92公平赔率

EV -2.42%

优势 -1.29%

Kelly -2.78%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布

51.30%52.17%52.22%52.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.721.821.831.8758.14%54.91%54.64%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Calgary Flames (主队)：47.82%；Philadelphia Flyers (客队)：52.18%。对于“Calgary Flames (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.06，期望值为-1.50%，未产生正期望值。

有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.50%E -0.727%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-08 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.50%E -0.727%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-08 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.50%E -0.727%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-08 15:10
Bet Right🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 15:05
Bovada🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 16:45
BetRivers🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 12:55
betPARX🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 12:53
Bally Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 12:55
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 15:29
GTbets🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:45
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:15
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:45
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:49
BetUS🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 12:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 12:55
BetAnything🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:15
Everygame🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:54
PlayUp🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 14:45
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 13:24
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 13:20
TAB🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 15:00
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 13:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 16:23
Betsson🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 16:45
NordicBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 16:45
DraftKings🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:45
FanDuel🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 17:00
ReBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 16:55
SportsBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 16:55
Neds🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-08 13:45
Caesars🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.42%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 13:10
Bet Victor🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-08 16:20
betano_uk🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-08 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.10%E -5.37%K -11.48%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -10.25%E -5.96%K -14.23%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-11-08 14:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%	1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%	0.1%	2026-11-08 17:00
ProphetX◎	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%	0.5%	2026-11-08 16:05
Novig◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%	0.7%	2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%	0.7%	2026-11-08 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%	0.7%	2026-11-08 15:45
Polymarket◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	1.0%	2026-11-08 12:45
Kalshi◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	1.0%	2026-11-08 13:35
Smarkets◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%	1.7%	2026-11-08 16:40
Matchbook◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%	2.0%	2026-11-08 16:45

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.49%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%	4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06%	3.0%	2026-11-08 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%	3.3%	2026-11-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%	3.3%	2026-11-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%	3.3%	2026-11-08 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%	3.3%	2026-11-08 16:35
Coolbet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%	4.4%	2026-11-08 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.50%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%	4.6%	2026-11-08 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%	4.8%	2026-11-08 16:59
Casumo🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%	5.2%	2026-11-08 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%	5.2%	2026-11-08 12:55
Unibet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%	5.2%	2026-11-08 12:54
TABtouch🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%	6.7%	2026-11-08 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%	6.9%	2026-11-08 15:55
Betway🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%	7.7%	2026-11-08 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%	8.8%	2026-11-08 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.29%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%	8.9%	2026-11-08 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%	11.3%	2026-11-08 16:20
Grosvenor🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%	11.6%	2026-11-08 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%	3.73I 26.81%NM 23.92%	12.1%	2026-11-08 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%	13.4%	2026-11-08 17:00

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