默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames v Anaheim Ducks

2026-11-07 01:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

53%

47%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames (主队)

预测 52.89%1.89公平赔率

EV -0.574%

优势 -0.305%

Kelly -0.652%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布

50.91%53.23%52.70%57.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.651.791.801.8860.61%55.98%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Anaheim Ducks (客队)

预测 47.11%2.12公平赔率

EV +6.01%

优势 +2.67%

Kelly +4.80%

增长率 +0.289%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

42.31%46.77%47.30%49.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.032.022.2551.28%49.15%49.50%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Calgary Flames (主队)：52.89%；Anaheim Ducks (客队)：47.11%。对于“Anaheim Ducks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.12。有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.25，由此产生+6.01%的正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.60%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +6.01%E +2.67%K +4.80%G +0.289%	5.1%	2026-11-05 20:15
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.60%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +5.53%E +2.47%K +4.46%G +0.247%	5.2%	2026-11-05 20:10
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.60%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +5.53%E +2.47%K +4.46%G +0.247%	5.2%	2026-11-05 20:10
FanDuel🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-05 19:29
SportsBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-05 19:29
Fanatics🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-05 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-05 20:00
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-05 20:00
BetMGM🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-05 20:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-05 19:30
GTbets🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-05 20:00
Bet Right🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.75%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.36%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-05 20:14
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
DraftKings🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.75%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-05 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-05 18:25
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-05 16:30
Fliff🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-05 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-05 16:30
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-05 16:35
Neds🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-05 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-05 19:59
ReBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -3.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-05 20:00
BetRivers🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.652%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-05 18:30
betPARX🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.652%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-05 18:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.652%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-05 18:30
betano_uk🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-11-05 19:59
Bet Victor🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-11-05 20:00

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Polymarket◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-11-05 18:30
Kalshi◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%	2.1%	2026-11-05 16:30
Smarkets◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%	10.5%	2026-11-05 20:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%	3.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%	3.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%	3.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%	3.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
1xBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.14%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.63%	4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%	3.2%	2026-11-05 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.11%	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.66%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%	4.6%	2026-11-05 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.54%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%	6.0%	2026-11-05 20:00
Casumo🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%	6.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
Unibet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%	6.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%	6.1%	2026-11-05 18:30
TABtouch🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%	6.4%	2026-11-05 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 41.46%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%	8.7%	2026-11-05 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%	9.3%	2026-11-05 19:59
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.27%	2.52I 39.68%NM 36.03%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%	10.1%	2026-11-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 39.33%	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.68%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%	11.5%	2026-11-05 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.19%	2.40I 41.67%NM 36.04%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%	15.6%	2026-11-05 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 41.58%	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.27%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.14%	17.3%	2026-11-05 20:00

套利（18 种组合） +2.42%BetRivers 1.88 (54.5%) / PlayUp 2.25 (45.5%)显示全部 18 种组合

Calgary Flames (主队)	Anaheim Ducks (客队)	利润率
BetRivers🎯 1.88 (54.5%)	PlayUp🎯 2.25 (45.5%)	+2.42%
betPARX🎯 1.88 (54.5%)	PlayUp🎯 2.25 (45.5%)	+2.42%
Bally Bet🎯 1.88 (54.5%)	PlayUp🎯 2.25 (45.5%)	+2.42%
BetRivers🎯 1.88 (54.4%)	Betsson🎯 2.24 (45.6%)	+2.21%
BetRivers🎯 1.88 (54.4%)	NordicBet🎯 2.24 (45.6%)	+2.21%
betPARX🎯 1.88 (54.4%)	Betsson🎯 2.24 (45.6%)	+2.21%
betPARX🎯 1.88 (54.4%)	NordicBet🎯 2.24 (45.6%)	+2.21%
Bally Bet🎯 1.88 (54.4%)	Betsson🎯 2.24 (45.6%)	+2.21%
Bally Bet🎯 1.88 (54.4%)	NordicBet🎯 2.24 (45.6%)	+2.21%
Caesars🎯 1.83 (55.1%)	PlayUp🎯 2.25 (44.9%)	+0.919%
Caesars🎯 1.83 (55.0%)	Betsson🎯 2.24 (45.0%)	+0.717%
Caesars🎯 1.83 (55.0%)	NordicBet🎯 2.24 (45.0%)	+0.717%
Bet Right🎯 1.82 (55.3%)	PlayUp🎯 2.25 (44.7%)	+0.614%
DraftKings🎯 1.82 (55.3%)	PlayUp🎯 2.25 (44.7%)	+0.614%
Bet Right🎯 1.82 (55.2%)	Betsson🎯 2.24 (44.8%)	+0.414%
Bet Right🎯 1.82 (55.2%)	NordicBet🎯 2.24 (44.8%)	+0.414%
DraftKings🎯 1.82 (55.2%)	Betsson🎯 2.24 (44.8%)	+0.414%
DraftKings🎯 1.82 (55.2%)	NordicBet🎯 2.24 (44.8%)	+0.414%