L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Nashville Predators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 22:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 62.28%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%62.47%62.25%66.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.541.541.5871.43%65.14%64.94%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nashville Predators (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.72%2.65cote équitable
EV +5.63%
Avantage +2.01%
Kelly +3.13%
Croissance +0.176%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%37.53%37.75%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.532.532.8042.19%39.55%39.53%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -10.32%E -7.17%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +5.63%E +2.01%K +3.13%G +0.176%5.2%2026-03-07 22:25
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.85%E +0.687%K +1.09%G +0.020%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.85%E +0.687%K +1.09%G +0.020%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.032%E -0.012%K -0.019%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:29
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 22:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.67%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.67%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 22:30
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 22:29
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -1.60%E -1.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.80%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 22:30
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.56%E -1.80%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 22:26
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:29
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:30
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -7.20%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.20%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 22:28
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 22:29
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:30
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:29
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -10.59%E -4.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 22:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-03-07 22:30
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-03-07 22:30
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-03-07 22:30
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-07 22:29

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-07 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-07 22:29
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.87%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.97%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-07 22:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-07 22:29
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-07 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-07 22:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%7.8%2026-03-07 22:29
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%7.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%8.8%2026-03-07 22:29
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-07 22:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%9.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-03-07 22:26
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%13.8%2026-03-07 22:29