L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.58
avec la cote maximale 2.80
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -10.32%E -7.17%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +5.63%E +2.01%K +3.13%G +0.176% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.85%E +0.687%K +1.09%G +0.020% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.85%E +0.687%K +1.09%G +0.020% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.032%E -0.012%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.67%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.67%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -1.60%E -1.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.80%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.56%E -1.80%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 22:26 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -7.20%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.20%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:28 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -10.59%E -4.47%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 22:28 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | -0.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.87% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.97% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 22:26 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |