L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.69
avec la cote maximale 2.36
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -8.18%E -3.77%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -8.18%E -3.77%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.06%E -2.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.33%E -3.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.02%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 16:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 20:24 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -0.137%E -0.058%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| ReBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.97%E -3.66%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.41%E -0.603%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.97%E -3.66%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.41%E -0.603%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 16:54 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.560%E -0.238%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.560%E -0.238%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.41%E -0.603%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.32%E -8.10%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.14%E -5.30%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 19:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 16:54 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 16:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.11% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 23:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22% | 9.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09% | 12.5% | 2026-04-14 16:55 |