L’École des cotes

Boston Bruins v Minnesota Wild

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prévision 46.61%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.209%
Avantage +0.097%
Kelly +0.181%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%46.61%46.75%48.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.85%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.39%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.84%53.39%53.25%55.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.791.801.8557.80%55.79%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +0.209%E +0.097%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +0.209%E +0.097%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:55
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 22:35
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 22:35
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:00
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 22:34
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:50
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:10
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:55
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:05
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:20
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.23%E -0.663%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 03:00
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:54
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:55
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:50
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.23%E -0.663%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:05
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.23%E -0.663%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:51
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:35
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 03:00
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.18%E -4.15%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 02:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-03-28 02:55
BetOpenly2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-28 02:55
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-28 02:55
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%7.2%2026-03-28 03:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%3.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%4.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-03-28 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-03-27 19:05
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%6.0%2026-03-27 19:05
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%6.2%2026-03-28 02:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-03-27 19:05
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-28 03:10
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%8.9%2026-03-28 03:10
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 35.50%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%9.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%10.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%10.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%16.7%2026-03-28 03:10