La scuola delle quote

Anaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights

Inizio: 2026-05-15 01:50 UTC

Finale: Anaheim Ducks 1–5 Vegas Golden Knights

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Casa)

Previsione 53.72%1.86quota equa
EV -0.622%
Vantaggio -0.336%
Kelly -0.732%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.95%53.65%53.66%55.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.781.791.8559.52%56.09%55.87%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.28%2.16quota equa
EV +0.895%
Vantaggio +0.411%
Kelly +0.759%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.59%46.35%46.34%48.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.052.052.1854.05%48.79%48.78%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.895%E +0.411%K +0.759%G +0.007%2.1%2026-05-15 01:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.493%E -0.229%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.493%E -0.229%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 01:45
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.42%E -0.666%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:45
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.77%E -1.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 01:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-15 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-15 01:45
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:40
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:14
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:34
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:45
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 01:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 01:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 01:30
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 01:25
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 01:30
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 01:45
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 01:30
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 01:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 01:30
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 01:30
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.97%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 01:34
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.97%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 01:34
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.622%E -0.336%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 00:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 01:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 01:35
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 01:25
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 01:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 01:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.99%E -3.43%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 01:31
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -9.75%E -5.81%K -14.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -14.38%E -7.77%K -16.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 01:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-05-15 01:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-15 01:25
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-05-15 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-05-15 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-05-15 01:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-15 01:45
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-05-15 01:44
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-05-15 01:45
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%4.9%2026-05-15 01:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-05-15 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-05-15 00:50
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-05-15 00:50
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-05-15 00:50
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.12%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%4.4%2026-05-15 01:40
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.95%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.55%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-05-15 01:28
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-05-15 01:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-05-15 01:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-05-15 00:50
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-05-15 00:50
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-05-15 00:49
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-05-15 00:50
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%5.9%2026-05-15 01:40
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%6.2%2026-05-15 00:50
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.4%2026-05-15 01:39
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-05-15 01:25
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%7.4%2026-05-15 01:29
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-05-15 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-05-15 01:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-05-15 01:40
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%12.4%2026-05-15 00:50