L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.78
avec la cote maximale 2.26
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV +0.407%E +0.180%K +0.323%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 01:24 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 01:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 01:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 04:40 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 01:39 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 01:35 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.31%E -5.03%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 01:25 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.31%E -5.03%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 01:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.59%E -1.66%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 01:50 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.59%E -1.66%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.59%E -1.66%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.08%E -0.608%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 00:19 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 02:03 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 16:00 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.92%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.92%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.37%E -2.52%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 01:39 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.42%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.64%E -0.925%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 02:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 00:29 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 00:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.20%E -7.72%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -12.03%E -6.08%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 01:45 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 23:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 01:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 02:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.25% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.26% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 01:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.02% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.19% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 01:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:19 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.51% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 02:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.95% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.91% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.04% | 12.7% | 2026-04-04 00:20 |