L’École des cotes

Anaheim Ducks v Calgary Flames

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prévision 62.09%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -3.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%62.06%62.25%64.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.541.541.5870.92%65.04%64.94%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Flames (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV +0.467%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.283%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.99%37.94%37.75%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.532.6543.48%39.74%39.53%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.467%E +0.176%K +0.283%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-01 22:39
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.467%E +0.176%K +0.283%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-01 22:40
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.467%E +0.176%K +0.283%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-01 22:39
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -0.670%E -0.256%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 00:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.43%E -0.549%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 00:54
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.19%E -0.847%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 00:53
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-02 00:54
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-02 00:54
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.38%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 00:55
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.38%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 00:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.38%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 00:59
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 00:59
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 23:58
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 21:54
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.38%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.70%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.70%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 00:54
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 00:59
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 00:54
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 00:54
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 21:39
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 00:54
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 00:54
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 21:39
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:39
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.36%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 00:53
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.36%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 21:39
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 00:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:39
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:39
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 00:54
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.46%E -8.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-02 00:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.80%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 00:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-02 01:00
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-03-02 01:00
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-03-02 00:59
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-02 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-03-02 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-03-02 00:54
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-03-02 00:59
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-03-02 00:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-01 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-01 22:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-01 22:39
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-01 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-03-02 00:54
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.78%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.69%4.6%2026-03-02 00:54
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-03-02 00:59
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%5.2%2026-03-01 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%5.2%2026-03-01 22:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%5.2%2026-03-01 22:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%5.2%2026-03-01 22:40
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-02 00:54
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%6.3%2026-03-01 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-01 22:44
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%7.3%2026-03-01 22:39
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%7.6%2026-03-02 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.4%2026-03-02 00:59
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%8.6%2026-03-02 00:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%8.9%2026-03-02 00:54
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-02 00:59
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%10.9%2026-03-02 00:59
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.18%11.3%2026-03-02 00:45