默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TPS v SaiPa

开赛时间： 2026-02-25 16:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TPS (主队)

预测 43.90%2.28公平赔率

EV -2.97%

优势 -1.35%

Kelly -2.46%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布

42.86%44.06%43.63%45.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.162.152.2147.62%46.37%46.51%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

SaiPa (客队)

预测 56.10%1.78公平赔率

EV -0.710%

优势 -0.401%

Kelly -0.921%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

54.26%55.94%56.37%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.651.691.671.7760.61%59.33%59.70%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TPS (主队)：43.90%；SaiPa (客队)：56.10%。对于“SaiPa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.78。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.77，期望值为-0.710%，未产生正期望值。

有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -2.97%E -1.35%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-25 15:20
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-25 14:39
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.88%E -4.14%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-25 14:40
betPARX🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.88%E -4.14%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-25 14:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.88%E -4.14%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-25 14:40
Bovada🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-25 14:40
Betsson🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-25 15:04
NordicBet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-25 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-25 13:24
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-23 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-23 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-23 19:54
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-23 20:00
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.710%E -0.401%K -0.921%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-25 15:09
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-23 16:34
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-23 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-23 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-23 16:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-02-25 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-02-25 16:25
Smarkets◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%	8.1%	2026-02-25 16:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%	2.9%	2026-02-25 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%	2.9%	2026-02-25 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%	2.9%	2026-02-25 14:39
Coolbet🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.75%	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.95%	3.1%	2026-02-25 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%	4.8%	2026-02-25 14:54
1xBet🎯	2.89I 34.60%NM 32.56%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.03%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%	6.3%	2026-02-25 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%	6.3%	2026-02-25 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%	6.3%	2026-02-25 14:40
Grosvenor🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%	6.3%	2026-02-25 14:39
Casumo🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%	6.3%	2026-02-25 14:39
Betway🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%	8.9%	2026-02-25 14:55
LeoVegas🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%	9.5%	2026-02-25 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%	10.7%	2026-02-25 14:55
Everygame🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.88%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%	11.2%	2026-02-25 15:19
Paddy Power🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%	12.4%	2026-02-23 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.59%	1.92I 52.08%NM 44.98%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.43%	15.8%	2026-02-25 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%	1.93I 51.81%NM 44.71%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%	15.9%	2026-02-25 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 31.88%	1.93I 51.81%NM 44.26%	3.58I 27.93%NM 23.86%	17.1%	2026-02-25 16:09