語言:繁體中文
Tappara v HPK
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Tappara (主隊)
預測 76.07%1.31公平賠率
EV -1.87%
優勢 -1.45%
Kelly -6.44%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.29
博彩公司預測分布
73.38%76.00%76.31%77.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.221.241.251.2981.97%80.42%80.00%77.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值
HPK (客隊)
預測 23.93%4.18公平賠率
EV +1.70%
優勢 +0.400%
Kelly +0.523%
成長率 +0.009%
假設最高賠率為 4.25
博彩公司預測分布
22.45%24.00%23.69%26.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.974.004.2528.57%25.17%25.00%23.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Tappara (主隊)：76.07%；HPK (客隊)：23.93%。 對於「HPK (客隊)」，該估計相當於4.18的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.25，對應+1.70%的正期望值。
有 17 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +1.70%E +0.400%K +0.523%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.504%E +0.120%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.504%E +0.120%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -0.693%E -0.167%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 09:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -0.693%E -0.167%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.28%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.28%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.28%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.28%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.44%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.19%E -5.90%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.19%E -5.90%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.19%E -5.90%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.19%E -5.90%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.63%E -2.05%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 09:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.39%E -2.67%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 11:05 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 15:00 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (17)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.38% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.61% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.76% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.77% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52% | 10.6% | 2026-04-02 10:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.00% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.22% | 13.1% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55% | 13.7% | 2026-04-02 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.95% | 15.3% | 2026-04-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.42% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.83% | 15.5% | 2026-04-02 14:45 |