语言:简体中文
Sport v Jokerit
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sport (主队)
预测 36.06%2.77公平赔率
EV -0.847%
优势 -0.308%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.75
博彩公司预测分布
35.31%35.99%35.90%37.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.572.582.7542.55%38.85%38.83%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jokerit (客队)
预测 39.80%2.51公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -0.523%
Kelly -0.876%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
39.30%39.99%39.76%41.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.322.342.4846.51%43.13%42.74%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.14%4.14公平赔率
EV +0.199%
优势 +0.048%
Kelly +0.063%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.15
博彩公司预测分布
22.58%24.02%24.34%24.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.633.863.854.1527.55%25.89%25.97%24.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sport (主队)：36.06%；Jokerit (客队)：39.80%；平局：24.14%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.14。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.15，对应+0.199%的正期望值。
有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.19%EV -9.14%E -3.63%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.22%EV -7.27%E -3.12%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV +0.199%E +0.048%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.06%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -0.847%E -0.308%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -3.29%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -0.847%E -0.308%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -3.29%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -0.847%E -0.308%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -3.29%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.19%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.70%EV -1.57%E -0.574%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.30%E -0.523%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -13.47%E -5.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -13.47%E -5.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.77%EV -15.27%E -6.50%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -14.43%E -6.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.95%EV -11.25%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -10.58%E -4.27%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.89%EV -11.64%E -5.25%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.40%EV -12.36%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |