语言:简体中文
Ilves v SaiPa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ilves (主队)
预测 64.64%1.55公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -6.07%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
64.01%64.72%64.39%65.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.461.461.5069.44%68.34%68.49%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
SaiPa (客队)
预测 35.36%2.83公平赔率
EV -1.00%
优势 -0.358%
Kelly -0.557%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
34.27%35.28%35.61%35.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.682.652.8038.46%37.25%37.74%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ilves (主队)：64.64%；SaiPa (客队)：35.36%。 对于“SaiPa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.80，期望值为-1.00%，未产生正期望值。
有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.03%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.68%E -2.47%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.68%E -2.47%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.68%E -2.47%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.97%E -3.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.60%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.62%E -3.85%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.00%E -0.358%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 09:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.07%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.07%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 15:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.41% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.82% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 07:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03% | 11.4% | 2026-03-17 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19% | 12.7% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53% | 15.3% | 2026-03-17 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58% | 15.8% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 22.63% | 16.9% | 2026-03-17 16:08 |