语言:简体中文
HIFK v KalPa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HIFK (主队)
预测 49.34%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.31%
优势 -0.657%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.64%49.26%49.74%51.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.931.912.0054.64%51.91%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
KalPa (客队)
预测 50.66%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.23%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -2.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.93
博彩公司预测分布
48.93%50.74%50.26%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.881.901.9354.95%53.27%52.63%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HIFK (主队)：49.34%；KalPa (客队)：50.66%。 对于“HIFK (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.00，期望值为-1.31%，未产生正期望值。
有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.74%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.73%E -4.13%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.70%E -5.30%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.70%E -5.30%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.61% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56% | 16.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.64% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.72% | 20.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |