默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ässät v Jokerit

开赛时间: 2026-09-09 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ässät (主队)

预测 41.96%2.38公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.10%42.13%41.89%43.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.75%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jokerit (客队)

预测 34.15%2.93公平赔率
EV -0.963%
优势 -0.332%
Kelly -0.507%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
32.77%33.99%34.28%35.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.722.772.9040.82%36.70%36.04%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.89%4.19公平赔率
EV -0.865%
优势 -0.208%
Kelly -0.275%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.15

博彩公司预测分布
22.68%23.88%23.83%24.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.893.904.1527.03%25.73%25.64%24.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Ässät (主队):41.96%;Jokerit (客队):34.15%;平局:23.89%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.19。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.15,期望值为-0.865%,未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.572%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -0.963%E -0.332%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -0.963%E -0.332%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -0.963%E -0.332%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:39
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -6.43%E -2.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.12%EV -8.48%E -3.16%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -0.865%E -0.208%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:31
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.17%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.70%EV -11.04%E -5.21%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.40%EV -12.23%E -4.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -11.61%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.61%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.44%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.61%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.96%EV -13.98%E -6.82%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.11%EV -16.33%E -6.67%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-09 11:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-09-09 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-09-09 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-09-09 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%4.9%2026-09-09 15:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-09-09 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-09-09 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-09-09 14:30
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-09-09 14:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-09 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-09 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-09 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-09-09 11:40
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-09-09 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-09-09 10:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-09-09 10:14
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-09-09 10:14
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-09-09 11:40