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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Toronto Marlies v Utica Comets

开赛时间： 2026-04-08 14:55 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto Marlies (主队)

预测 40.10%2.49公平赔率
EV -2.55%
优势 -1.05%
Kelly -1.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布
38.78%40.44%40.10%42.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.282.332.4347.62%43.85%42.92%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Utica Comets (客队)

预测 37.08%2.70公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -2.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
35.07%36.58%37.08%38.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.09%40.00%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.82%4.38公平赔率
EV -4.17%
优势 -0.994%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.87%22.98%22.82%24.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.903.854.2027.03%25.65%25.97%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toronto Marlies (主队)：40.10%；Utica Comets (客队)：37.08%；平局：22.82%。 对于“Toronto Marlies (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.43，期望值为-2.55%，未产生正期望值。

有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.46%EV -9.15%E -3.73%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.76%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:00
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -9.89%E -4.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.17%E -0.994%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.00%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 14:50
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:29
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:45
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 20:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -9.15%E -3.73%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-08 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20%EV -10.26%E -4.24%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -15.58%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.00%E -4.58%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.76%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.22%EV -12.86%E -5.47%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.30%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-08 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.77%EV -12.86%E -5.47%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-08 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.71%E -6.40%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 22.95%EV -14.90%E -3.99%K -5.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-08 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -15.79%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -5.44%E -2.13%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 14:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-04-08 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-04-08 11:00
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%6.9%2026-04-08 14:50
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%7.7%2026-04-07 20:29
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%7.7%2026-04-07 20:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-08 14:50
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-04-08 02:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-04-07 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%8.3%2026-04-07 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%9.0%2026-04-07 14:50