语言:简体中文
Toronto Marlies v Chicago Wolves
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toronto Marlies (主队)
预测 39.99%2.50公平赔率
EV -4.83%
优势 -2.03%
Kelly -3.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.38
博彩公司预测分布
39.28%39.99%40.04%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.312.352.3846.51%43.31%42.55%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chicago Wolves (客队)
预测 37.67%2.65公平赔率
EV -5.82%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -3.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
37.02%37.67%37.60%38.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.412.452.5044.44%41.42%40.82%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.34%4.48公平赔率
EV -5.06%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.25
博彩公司预测分布
21.49%22.34%22.37%22.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.074.104.2526.32%24.56%24.39%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toronto Marlies (主队)：39.99%；Chicago Wolves (客队)：37.67%；平局：22.34%。 对于“Toronto Marlies (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.50。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.38，期望值为-4.83%，未产生正期望值。
有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.67%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -8.45%E -3.48%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.18%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -8.83%E -3.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.79%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.65%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%EV -11.47%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -6.18%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.89%EV -11.47%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.15%EV -12.60%E -5.43%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.52%EV -12.21%E -3.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-16 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.66%EV -14.02%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.90%EV -15.24%E -6.77%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.44%EV -15.11%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |