La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
10 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.54%E -3.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.06%E -3.41%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 07:54 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -2.90%E -1.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 08:50 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.43%E -1.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.43%E -1.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.43%E -1.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.43%E -1.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.43%E -1.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.43%E -1.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -9.76%E -5.71%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -8.46%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.60%EV -11.87%E -7.11%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.46%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 08:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.26%EV -8.70%E -5.03%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -6.06%E -3.41%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -16.97%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.16%EV -10.77%E -3.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.90%EV -5.01%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.95%EV -5.05%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -14.41%E -4.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.55%EV -10.81%E -6.40%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -15.91%E -4.03%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.22I 31.06%NM 26.53%EV -16.48%E -5.12%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.46%EV -12.40%E -7.47%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.02%EV -17.40%E -4.48%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-04 21:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.00%E -5.31%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.99%EV -12.40%E -7.47%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -12.71%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -18.30%E -5.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -5.01%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -8.46%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 22:05 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 22:04 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 05:19 |
| Bally Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:58 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 10:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 05:40 |