语言:简体中文
Bakersfield Condors v Tucson Roadrunners
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bakersfield Condors (主队)
预测 43.60%2.29公平赔率
EV -4.94%
优势 -2.27%
Kelly -4.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.18
博彩公司预测分布
42.41%43.69%43.60%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.112.152.1851.55%47.37%46.51%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tucson Roadrunners (客队)
预测 34.01%2.94公平赔率
EV -6.48%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -3.70%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.75
博彩公司预测分布
33.24%33.93%34.01%35.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.672.702.7541.67%37.42%37.04%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.39%4.47公平赔率
EV -2.60%
优势 -0.598%
Kelly -0.777%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.35
博彩公司预测分布
20.95%22.38%22.39%23.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.753.993.954.3526.67%25.09%25.32%22.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bakersfield Condors (主队)：43.60%；Tucson Roadrunners (客队)：34.01%；平局：22.39%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.47。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.35，期望值为-2.60%，未产生正期望值。
有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -4.94%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.03%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.56%E -4.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -2.60%E -0.598%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.18%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.93%EV -9.88%E -3.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -14.92%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.44%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -11.58%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.44%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.67%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -13.28%E -5.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -9.88%E -3.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -3.72%E -0.865%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -8.18%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.28%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%EV -13.28%E -5.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.78%EV -14.92%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.00%EV -15.41%E -7.94%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -18.39%E -7.66%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -16.04%E -4.28%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 01:29 |